Estrella San Agustín vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+168%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DHE
2 - 2
EST
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
CDP
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
MAI
36%
26%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 0
EST
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
MAI
46%
23%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 1
MOR
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
IBA
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 2
PAR
66%
18%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OSU
1 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |