Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-2
Estrela do Norte vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
EST
40%
25%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
EST
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 0
CDF
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 0
LUZ
58%
24%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LUZ
4 - 0
GRÊ
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |