Estrela Amadora U23 vs Benfica U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
8º
14
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
EST
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
4 - 0
EST
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 3
VIZ
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
FAM
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
VIZ
2 - 2
BES
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BES
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BES
3 - 5
GIL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |