Estoril vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
ESP
3 - 1
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
FAM
1 - 2
EST
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
EST
1 - 0
SAL
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
TIR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
FAR
2 - 2
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
BMA
1 - 1
FAR
38%
31%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
FAR
4 - 1
VIT
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
CHA
2 - 2
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |