Estonia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 1
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 4
SUI
13%
20%
68%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
IRL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
GEO
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +6 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 0
ENG
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
LTU
1 - 0
MKD
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
6%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
LTU
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |