Estonia U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
KOS
2 - 0
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
BHR
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BHR
3 - 3
EST
11%
15%
74%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
56%
23%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
LTU
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +5 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 1
BGR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
BGR
1 - 0
MNE
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 0
BGR
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVK
1 - 0
BGR
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BGR
0 - 3
BIH
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |