U21 EC Qualifying Grupo D round 1

Estonia U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis

Estonia U21 Bulgaria U21
31 ELO 50
3.4% Tilt 4%
8642º General ELO ranking 3709º
54º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
13.6%
Estonia U21
21.3%
Draw
65.1%
Bulgaria U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
Estonia U21
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.1%
Win probability
Bulgaria U21
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estonia U21
+17%
-14%
Bulgaria U21

ELO progression

Estonia U21
Bulgaria U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estonia U21
Estonia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2023
KOS
Kosovo U21
2 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
69%
18%
13%
30 50 20 0
26 Mar. 2023
EST
Estonia U21
1 - 1
Bahrain U21
BHR
75%
15%
10%
31 15 16 -1
24 Mar. 2023
BHR
Bahrain U21
3 - 3
Estonia U21
EST
11%
15%
74%
31 14 17 0
18 Nov. 2022
LVA
Latvia U21
1 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
56%
23%
20%
32 39 7 -1
16 Nov. 2022
EST
Estonia U21
5 - 1
Lithuania U21
LTU
24%
24%
53%
27 40 13 +5

Matches

Bulgaria U21
Bulgaria U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2023
ALB
Albania U21
3 - 1
Bulgaria U21
BGR
35%
27%
38%
51 48 3 0
15 Jun. 2023
BGR
Bulgaria U21
1 - 0
Montenegro U21
MNE
39%
27%
35%
51 51 0 0
28 Mar. 2023
FIN
Finland U21
2 - 0
Bulgaria U21
BGR
44%
26%
30%
52 52 0 -1
25 Mar. 2023
SVK
Slovakia U21
1 - 0
Bulgaria U21
BGR
77%
15%
8%
52 63 11 0
25 Nov. 2022
BGR
Bulgaria U21
0 - 3
Bosnia U21
BIH
36%
27%
37%
54 55 1 -2