Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Jazira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ZOB
1 - 1
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PAY
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
PAS
58%
22%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FAJ
4 - 1
EST
40%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Jazira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
UMM
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 4
AHD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WAS
0 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 4
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 0
WAH
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |