Estanciano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 3
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |