Esportivo BG vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 1
ESP
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
SLU
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
5 - 0
ESP
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEL
0 - 1
GRE
12%
23%
65%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AIM
1 - 1
PEL
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SLU
4 - 2
PEL
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
JUV
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
YPI
2 - 1
PEL
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |