Esportivo BG vs Cruzeiro RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VER
1 - 2
ESP
53%
25%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
GAU
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 3
GLO
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ESP
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BRA
33%
28%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TUP
1 - 1
CRU
53%
25%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 2
PAS
18%
26%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 2
CRU
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
AEG
1 - 0
CRU
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |