EC de Patos vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ECP
1 - 3
SOU
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 0
ECP
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
POM
0 - 3
ECP
12%
16%
73%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ECP
1 - 3
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +6 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 2
ECP
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 2
ADP
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
POM
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 2
NAC
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
IGU
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
CSP
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |