ES Tunis vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
WYD
0 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 2
ESP
44%
30%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
SET
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SET
0 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAB
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ETO
2 - 0
TRI
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ETO
7 - 0
CSH
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 0
ETO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
ETO
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CSS
2 - 1
ETO
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |