ES Tunis vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
CSH
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
USM
1 - 1
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
EGS
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
4 - 0
LPT
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
1 - 0
USM
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASD
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
1 - 2
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LPT
0 - 2
ASD
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 3
OLY
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |