Esperança de Lagos vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 3
EDL
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
EDL
0 - 1
VST
9%
18%
73%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALJ
1 - 0
EDL
15%
18%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
EDL
0 - 1
OLH
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 2
EDL
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
MOU
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
50%
21%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
AMO
2 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |