LaLiga round 15

Espanyol vs Valencia analysis

Espanyol Valencia
82 ELO 86
-18.5% Tilt -11%
188º General ELO ranking 96º
17º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
33%
Espanyol
27.7%
Draw
39.4%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
Espanyol
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.4%
Win probability
Valencia
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
-2%
-6%
Valencia

ELO progression

Espanyol
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 1998
CEL
Celta
2 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
59%
23%
18%
82 85 3 0
05 Dec. 1998
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
24%
25%
51%
82 89 7 0
29 Nov. 1998
EXT
CF Extremadura
1 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
32%
28%
40%
83 74 9 -1
22 Nov. 1998
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 1
Racing
RAC
51%
26%
23%
83 79 4 0
15 Nov. 1998
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
0 - 3
Espanyol
ESP
58%
23%
20%
82 82 0 +1

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 1998
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
UD Salamanca
SLA
73%
17%
10%
86 78 8 0
06 Dec. 1998
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 1
Valencia
VCF
28%
26%
45%
86 76 10 0
29 Nov. 1998
CEL
Celta
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
47%
25%
28%
86 85 1 0
21 Nov. 1998
VCF
Valencia
3 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
39%
25%
36%
86 90 4 0
15 Nov. 1998
EXT
CF Extremadura
1 - 0
Valencia
VCF
25%
26%
48%
86 74 12 0