Espanyol vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
RAC
0 - 1
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 0
SEV
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RAY
2 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 0
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ZAR
8 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 0
VCF
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
VCF
4 - 0
CEL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
REC
4 - 3
VCF
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 1
VCF
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |