Espanyol vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
HAN
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ESP
0 - 2
MLL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
HAN
0 - 1
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 36 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
VCF
2 - 0
OSA
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
BET
3 - 1
VCF
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
VCF
2 - 0
NTT
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
VCF
3 - 0
OVI
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ZAR
3 - 0
VCF
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |