Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-6
Espanyol vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
21%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
VCF
4 - 3
ESP
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 1
RAC
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 2
VCF
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
VCF
4 - 3
ESP
51%
20%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
OVI
4 - 3
VCF
70%
15%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 2
VCF
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |