Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-5
Espanyol vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
ESP
5 - 2
DEP
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
DEP
1 - 2
ESP
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 2
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCF
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 0
MLL
83%
11%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
MLL
1 - 1
OVI
28%
23%
50%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 2
SPO
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
SEV
3 - 0
OVI
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
4 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |