Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-3
Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1996 |
FCB
2 - 1
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 1
BET
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
OVI
1 - 2
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
5 - 1
LEG
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
MER
2 - 2
RMA
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
RMA
4 - 1
VAD
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1995 |
DEP
3 - 0
RMA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
RMA
1 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 1
RMA
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |