Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESP
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1977 |
BET
2 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 0
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 7
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
SEV
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
SLA
2 - 1
RMA
32%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
MAL
2 - 1
RMA
25%
28%
46%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |