Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 2
ESP
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 0
SEV
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 0
RSO
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
VAD
4 - 2
ESP
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 4
RMA
18%
20%
62%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
RMA
3 - 0
RAC
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
RMA
4 - 1
MAL
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |