Europa League Grupo H round 4

Espanyol vs Ludogorets analysis

Espanyol Ludogorets
85 ELO 85
-2.9% Tilt -3.7%
118º General ELO ranking 589º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.8%
Espanyol
26.3%
Draw
31%
Ludogorets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Espanyol
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31%
Win probability
Ludogorets
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
-2%
+18%
Ludogorets

ELO progression

Espanyol
Ludogorets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2019
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
31%
26%
43%
84 88 4 0
30 Oct. 2019
ATH
Athletic
3 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
47%
26%
27%
84 85 1 0
27 Oct. 2019
LEV
Levante
0 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
47%
25%
29%
84 84 0 0
24 Oct. 2019
LUD
Ludogorets
0 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
52%
24%
24%
84 85 1 0
20 Oct. 2019
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
39%
26%
35%
84 85 1 0

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2019
LUD
Ludogorets
3 - 1
Beroe
BER
74%
17%
9%
85 73 12 0
29 Oct. 2019
FCT
Tsarsko Selo
0 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
17%
23%
60%
85 69 16 0
24 Oct. 2019
LUD
Ludogorets
0 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
52%
24%
24%
85 84 1 0
19 Oct. 2019
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
17%
24%
59%
85 67 18 0
06 Oct. 2019
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 0
Levski Sofia
LSO
63%
21%
16%
84 79 5 +1