Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
14.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 4
ATH
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
RAC
2 - 3
ESP
56%
19%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ESP
2 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ESP
3 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
RAC
47%
19%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
SEV
1 - 4
CEL
73%
14%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
CEL
2 - 3
RMA
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
HER
6 - 1
CEL
62%
18%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |