Espanyol vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
GRA
2 - 0
ESP
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 2
ESP
70%
16%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
ATM
3 - 1
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 0
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
CAS
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAB
1 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |