LaLiga round 16

Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis

Espanyol Barcelona
78 ELO 86
-1.6% Tilt 0.9%
195º General ELO ranking
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.1%
Espanyol
28%
Draw
35%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
Espanyol
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
-1%
+2%
Barcelona

ELO progression

Espanyol
Barcelona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 1980
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 0
Atlètic De Ciutadella
ADC
83%
12%
5%
77 32 45 0
06 Jan. 1980
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 0
Real Sporting
SPO
46%
27%
28%
77 83 6 0
30 Dec. 1979
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
52%
24%
24%
77 72 5 0
16 Dec. 1979
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 0
Hércules
HER
60%
23%
17%
77 77 0 0
08 Dec. 1979
ESP
Espanyol
6 - 0
Masnou
CDM
83%
12%
5%
77 22 55 0

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 1980
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
34%
27%
39%
86 72 14 0
30 Dec. 1979
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Valencia
VCF
69%
18%
13%
86 83 3 0
16 Dec. 1979
ATH
Athletic
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
54%
23%
23%
86 83 3 0
02 Dec. 1979
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Las Palmas
UDL
74%
16%
10%
86 81 5 0
25 Nov. 1979
ATM
Atlético
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
49%
25%
25%
86 83 3 0