Espanyol vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
BET
1 - 0
ESP
51%
28%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 0
SSC
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
PAL
0 - 0
ESP
29%
32%
39%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
ESP
0 - 0
XER
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
LEV
0 - 0
ESP
30%
31%
39%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
ATH
4 - 0
FIG
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
RBU
0 - 0
ATH
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
ATH
3 - 1
REC
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
RMC
0 - 1
ATH
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ATH
2 - 2
ELC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |