UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals

Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21 analysis

Spain U21 Ukraine U21
86 ELO 69
9.3% Tilt 11.8%
137º General ELO ranking 1268º
15º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
81%
Spain U21
12.9%
Draw
6.1%
Ukraine U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
Spain U21
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.1%
Win probability
Ukraine U21
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spain U21
+1%
+23%
Ukraine U21

ELO progression

Spain U21
Ukraine U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spain U21
Spain U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
2 - 1
Switzerland U21
SUI
83%
12%
5%
86 67 19 0
27 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
2 - 2
Ukraine U21
UKR
83%
12%
5%
86 67 19 0
24 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 0
Croatia U21
CRO
79%
14%
8%
86 69 17 0
21 Jun. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 3
Spain U21
ESP
8%
16%
77%
86 64 22 0
13 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 1
Mexico U23
MEX
85%
10%
5%
86 73 13 0

Matches

Ukraine U21
Ukraine U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2023
FRA
France U21
1 - 3
Ukraine U21
UKR
72%
18%
11%
68 81 13 0
27 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
2 - 2
Ukraine U21
UKR
83%
12%
5%
67 86 19 +1
24 Jun. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 1
Ukraine U21
UKR
36%
26%
38%
66 63 3 +1
21 Jun. 2023
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 0
Croatia U21
CRO
32%
24%
44%
65 70 5 +1
16 Jun. 2023
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 2
Ireland U21
IRL
58%
23%
19%
65 60 5 0