UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Spain U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1987 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
3 - 0
AUT
71%
18%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
ROU
0 - 1
ESP
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1987 |
AUT
1 - 1
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1987 |
NLD
4 - 3
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1987 |
DEU
0 - 2
NLD
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
NLD
1 - 0
LUX
73%
16%
12%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1987 |
NLD
3 - 1
DEU
51%
23%
27%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
LUX
0 - 2
NLD
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |