Spain U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 0
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SWE
2 - 0
ESP
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 0
CRO
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
SCO
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SCO
3 - 2
LTU
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
GER
0 - 1
SCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
SCO
2 - 2
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |