Spain U18 vs Italy U18s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1989 |
ESP
3 - 1
AUT
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
ESP
0 - 0
ROU
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 3
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
DNK
2 - 0
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
AUT
1 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U18s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
ITA
9 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 5 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
PRT
0 - 0
ITA
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1989 |
ITA
5 - 0
CHE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
ITA
0 - 2
PRT
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
ITA
1 - 0
ALB
79%
14%
6%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |