Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Chassieu Decines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
11º
5º
27
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 2
SAI
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 0
ESM
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
ESM
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
ESM
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ESM
5 - 0
AIN
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Chassieu Decines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 1
FEU
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
CDE
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
CDE
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDE
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
VAU
28%
23%
48%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |