ESMTK vs Békéscsaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ESM
1 - 2
MON
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ESM
0 - 1
FER
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HON
1 - 2
ESM
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ESM
2 - 1
DAB
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
ESM
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Békéscsaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BEK
1 - 1
KTE
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BFC
2 - 2
BEK
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BEK
0 - 3
VAS
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 2
BEK
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BEK
2 - 2
DIO
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |