Scotland U21 vs Austria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BLR
1 - 1
SCO
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SCO
1 - 1
SWE
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 2
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 4
SCO
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 0
BLR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
AUT
3 - 3
BLR
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
AUT
1 - 0
WAL
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUT
3 - 0
DEN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
AUT
4 - 0
AZE
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 2
AUT
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |