EBK vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
9º
10º
22
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 39 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
EBK
66%
22%
13%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
EBK
1 - 6
INT
26%
22%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
EBK
4 - 2
FUT
44%
20%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IKI
2 - 5
EBK
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KOO
2 - 1
EBK
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 1
VJS
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
5 - 1
ILV
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TPS
2 - 3
ILV
15%
16%
68%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
IKI
16%
18%
67%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +6 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TPV
1 - 0
ILV
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |