Esbjerg vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ESB
2 - 1
VEJ
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SKI
0 - 4
ESB
24%
25%
52%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ESB
1 - 0
ROS
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AKA
0 - 2
ESB
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
OKS
1 - 4
ESB
9%
15%
76%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
HEL
0 - 2
HBK
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HBK
0 - 4
MID
16%
20%
65%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
THI
1 - 3
HBK
35%
24%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SVE
2 - 4
HBK
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
NAK
0 - 5
HBK
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | 0 |