Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BIF
2 - 3
ESB
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ESB
2 - 3
LYN
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
HER
3 - 2
ESB
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ESB
3 - 1
VEJ
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ESB
0 - 2
OBK
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AGF
0 - 1
OBK
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIF
4 - 1
AGF
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
AGF
1 - 0
FCK
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
AKA
2 - 3
AGF
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |