ES Setif vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
11º
6º
16
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
16 | 51 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 50 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 49 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 48 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 45 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 45 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 42 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 30 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 28 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
15% | 31.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
10% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
SET
1 - 2
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
SET
2 - 2
JSK
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
USK
2 - 3
SET
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SET
0 - 0
ALG
43%
30%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
OAK
0 - 1
SET
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
ASE
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
USM
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
USM
6 - 0
ORA
88%
10%
2%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
USM
2 - 0
SAO
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |