ES Mostaganem vs Biskra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
15º
15º
11
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
16 | 51 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 50 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 49 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 48 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 45 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 45 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 42 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 30 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 28 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 58% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 1
USM
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SET
1 - 0
ESM
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USK
2 - 0
ESM
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
ESM
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 1
ORA
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Biskra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USB
2 - 1
SAO
28%
30%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 2
USB
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 0
BEL
26%
30%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
USB
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
EBA
0 - 1
USB
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |