ES Mostaganem vs Arzew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
SKI
3 - 0
ESM
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
ESM
0 - 1
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
USM
0 - 1
ESM
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
BBA
4 - 2
ESM
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
MCS
2 - 2
ESM
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arzew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
USM
4 - 0
ARZ
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
3 - 1
MOH
40%
27%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
MOB
1 - 1
ARZ
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CON
38%
28%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |