Jerba vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
50.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ESJ
69%
21%
10%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ESJ
1 - 1
OLY
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
ESJ
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ESJ
3 - 2
OUE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SEL
0 - 1
ESJ
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SEL
0 - 0
ASD
17%
29%
55%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
MED
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
CSS
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
SPO
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |