Erzurumspor vs 1461 Trabzon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzurumspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 1
CAN
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
TOK
2 - 2
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 3
SEB
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -3 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KAR
7 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
1461 Trabzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
146
1 - 0
CAN
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TOK
4 - 0
146
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
146
4 - 1
SEB
29%
25%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
OFS
2 - 1
146
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
146
2 - 3
KAR
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |