Erzeni Shijak vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
9º
9º
50
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 0
ERZ
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 0
EGN
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
VLZ
1 - 1
ERZ
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 0
LAÇ
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 4
PAR
19%
27%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
KUK
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
KFS
0 - 0
TIR
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
KUK
2 - 0
TIR
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
TEU
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TIR
3 - 2
DIN
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |