Erpeldange vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
ERP
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ERP
3 - 2
RUM
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UKT
1 - 4
ERP
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ERP
0 - 2
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
JEU
3 - 1
ERP
33%
23%
45%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
RUM
2 - 1
UME
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UME
0 - 1
WIL
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
USS
1 - 5
UME
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UME
2 - 3
MAM
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
0 - 3
UME
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |