Erlangen-Bruck vs FC Herzogenaurach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FVR
1 - 4
ERB
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ERB
0 - 4
TSB
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QUF
3 - 0
ERB
43%
23%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ERB
1 - 0
TSV
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
6 - 0
ERB
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Herzogenaurach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 2
JFO
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 2
FCH
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SVM
3 - 3
FCH
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 1
FCH
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 2
FCH
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |