SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
ERK
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 3
WER
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 3
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 2
VEL
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
VFB
4 - 1
ERK
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 0
HUL
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
SWE
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 1
SWE
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
BER
67%
21%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WER
0 - 2
SWE
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |