Oberliga NRW round 14

SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Schermbeck analysis

SpVgg Erkenschwick Schermbeck
23 ELO 31
-5.8% Tilt 8.4%
7097º General ELO ranking 7993º
262º Country ELO ranking 318º
ELO win probability
37.7%
SpVgg Erkenschwick
26.1%
Draw
36.2%
Schermbeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
Schermbeck
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SpVgg Erkenschwick
+27%
-7%
Schermbeck

ELO progression

SpVgg Erkenschwick
Schermbeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SpVgg Erkenschwick
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2010
VEL
Velbert
4 - 0
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
78%
14%
8%
24 38 14 0
31 Oct. 2010
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
5 - 1
Homberg
VFB
51%
24%
25%
23 23 0 +1
24 Oct. 2010
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 0
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
72%
17%
11%
24 35 11 -1
01 Oct. 2010
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
4 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
76%
16%
8%
24 53 29 0
26 Sep. 2010
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
0 - 2
Westfalia Herne
WHE
24%
24%
52%
25 35 10 -1

Matches

Schermbeck
Schermbeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2010
SCH
Schermbeck
1 - 2
Hüls
HUL
48%
24%
28%
31 30 1 0
31 Oct. 2010
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
1 - 0
Schermbeck
SCH
61%
20%
19%
32 33 1 -1
24 Oct. 2010
SCH
Schermbeck
1 - 2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
30%
25%
45%
33 39 6 -1
17 Oct. 2010
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
1 - 0
Schermbeck
SCH
27%
26%
47%
34 25 9 -1
03 Oct. 2010
SCH
Schermbeck
5 - 0
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
67%
19%
14%
33 23 10 +1