Ericeirense vs Igreja Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ericeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FON
1 - 0
ERI
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ERI
2 - 1
ALI
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LAV
2 - 2
ERI
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ERI
43%
23%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ERI
1 - 0
ODI
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Igreja Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INO
0 - 3
ODI
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OBU
2 - 2
INO
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
INO
1 - 1
PON
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AMU
3 - 2
INO
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
INO
2 - 0
AMU
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |