CF Epila vs UD Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
14º
9º
12
8º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 65 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 59 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 52 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 52 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 47 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 45 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 39 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 38 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 35 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 29 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25.5% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Epila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
EPI
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EPI
1 - 1
CDE
25%
28%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CUA
1 - 1
EPI
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EPI
0 - 2
BEL
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EPI
0 - 1
LAA
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 1
TAM
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 2
FRA
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
CDU
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
FRA
41%
25%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 3
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |