Energie Cottbus vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
COT
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 0
COT
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
MSV
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SGD
2 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
EBT
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 1
ERZ
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ING
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RTV
6 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |